Inflation Relief Continues
Last week USA inflation-related data releases provided another round of relief as actual data was lower than estimates. In the last year,...
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Sameer Kalra
- Oct 31
High Yields & New Conflict - Awaits Fed
It has been more than a month since the last FOMC meeting took place. Since then bond yields have risen to new recent highs with 10-year...
Sameer Kalra
- Oct 16
Inflation Risk - On or Off ?
Last week US CPI release was higher than estimated but as the markets focused on the Israel- Hamas conflict the reactions of financial...
Sameer Kalra
- Sep 25
Fed Keeps the Hawk Alive
Last week the Federal Reserve continued to hold the current interest rates and it also mentioned that it will continue to make decisions...
Sameer Kalra
- Aug 28
Jackson Hole - A Dull Summer Ending
Last week the most anticipated event of summer took place at Jackson Hole, an event where the majority of developed countries' central...
Sameer Kalra
- Aug 1
Is BoJ Preparing for Lift Off ?
The majority of central banks have communicated some level of pause in the rate trajectory. One of them is the focal point for the months...
Sameer Kalra
- Jul 31
The Fed Raised Rates , Now What ?
Last week Federal Reserve did the last hike before the summer break started and the tone this time also continued to be neutral towards...
Sameer Kalra
- Jul 25
Fed Standoff : To Shoot or Hold ?
Almost 36 hours left for the next FOMC meeting. The rate swap market is already pricing in a hike with odds of 98.9%. And the same is...
Sameer Kalra
- Jul 17
Inflation Reduction,But Fed's Deduction?
Last week inflation gave more hope to the optimistic that it is now even below the lowest estimates. This resulted in further rallies in...
Sameer Kalra
- Jul 10
Fed Minutes - Outlook Uncertain
Last week FOMC meeting minutes were released and it was not what the investors were hoping for. The committee remains with the stand that...
Sameer Kalra
- Jun 15
Fed Shifts from Every time to Sometime
Yesterday the policy decision was not related to whether the rate rises today or not but it was more to do with whether the rate will...
Sameer Kalra
- May 4
Is Fed Using 2004-07 Playbook?
Yesterday Federal Reserve hiked the interest rates by another 0.25% taking the rates to 5-5.25%. As this was expected there was not much...
Sameer Kalra
- May 2
Does Fed Pause for the Cause ?
In the next 48 hours, the market will be reacting to the rate decision taken by FOMC. The Swap Markets have already given a 94%...
Sameer Kalra
- Apr 6
Is Fed Balance Sheet Bump Over?
It’s been almost a month since the banking crisis created a sudden panic. It led to swift actions by central banks to contain the risks....
Sameer Kalra
- Mar 23
Dovish Hike By Hopeful Fed
Yesterday FOMC increased the interest rate by 0.25% in line with estimates. But the most important part was the speech by Fed Chair...
Sameer Kalra
- Mar 21
Who will be Wrong? - Fed or Market
Tomorrow will be the FOMC decision on the interest rate and also the first time Fed Chair Powell will be speaking since the blackout...
Sameer Kalra
- Mar 9
Welcome to The Fed Roller Coaster
The most feared ride in any amusement park is the roller coaster and the funny part is it is the main attraction as well. This reference...
Sameer Kalra
- Feb 23
No Pause In Sight - by Federal Reserve
Yesterday FOMC meeting minutes got released and there were no surprises for the market as they contained the same language that most...
Sameer Kalra
- Feb 16
Higher Inflation, Higher Rates
On Tuesday the new inflation data for the USA got released. The core and headline CPI came in higher than estimates. This was mainly...
Sameer Kalra
- Feb 2
Federal Reserve - Got a foot in the door?
Yesterday marked almost twelve months of the rate hike cycle and the policy was a first mid-way approach. Midway because the market got...
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