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Sameer Kalra
4 days ago
Inflation Spike Ahead ?
In the last six months, the US 10-year bond yield has risen to 4.8% from 3.8% despite a 1% rate cut during the period. At the same time,...
Sameer Kalra
Dec 23, 2024
The Fed vs President-elect : Warm Up
Last week was the final FOMC meeting of 2024, and volatility relating to expectations and actuals continued to be highest in recent...
Sameer Kalra
Dec 17, 2024
BoJ & Fed D-Days : Santa or Grinch ?
The next 48 hours are crucial as the Bank of Japan and the Federal Reserve meet to decide on the year-end interest rates. This year has...
Sameer Kalra
Dec 16, 2024
Central Banks at Crossroads
As this year comes near an end, central banks are closing the year by giving mixed commentary for the year ahead. This week is crucial as...
Sameer Kalra
Sep 23, 2024
The Fed Action had a stronger Reaction
Last week, the Federal Reserve surprised a lot of stakeholders by cutting rates by 50bps without a crisis going on. This move was...
Sameer Kalra
Sep 2, 2024
Global Bond Market at Inflection point ?
In the last two months, International Bond ETFs have witnessed a return of 6.5% similar to November- December 2023. The difference this...
Sameer Kalra
Aug 26, 2024
Powell gets a Hole in One
The last 72 hours have been another round of volatile events but this time one was positive and another negative with limited impact. The...
Sameer Kalra
Aug 19, 2024
Volatility Insanity Returns - Week 3
Today is the start of the third week since VIX spiked from 17 to 65 within 48 hours. But since then, certain changes in events have led...
Sameer Kalra
Aug 5, 2024
Volatility Insanity Returns
In last three trading sessions VIX has almost doubled from a low of 16 to high of 30. The crude oil OVX has increased from 28 to 40....
Sameer Kalra
Jul 29, 2024
East & West Central Banks Decision Time
This week might be the most anticipated in the Central Bank policy calendar as the Bank of Japan and Federal Reserve Bank meet on the...
Sameer Kalra
Jul 22, 2024
Elections,Central Banks & Gold : Part 3
It has been only three weeks since the betting market started to factor in President Biden's withdrawal from the 2024 elections and last...
Sameer Kalra
Jul 16, 2024
A New Japan In Positive Rate Era
It has been more than five months since interest rates were increased in Japan after decades. Within this period inflation averaged...
Sameer Kalra
Jul 15, 2024
Elections,Central Banks & Gold : Part 2
The first 15 days of July have raised the heat and friction of the US election to a new high with direct violence taking place against...
Sameer Kalra
Jul 8, 2024
Elections,Central Banks & Gold
In the last three years, the world has gone through changes in geopolitics that have not been observed in the previous fifteen years....
Sameer Kalra
Jun 11, 2024
Central Banks at a Crossroad ?
It can be said that the current period is when every central bank has to decide on its road to take in terms of rate cuts, hold or hike....
Sameer Kalra
Jun 3, 2024
Month of June - Boom or Bust ?
The first 48 hours of June have been more than exciting for investors, especially the ones that focus on event-led moves. First, was the...
Sameer Kalra
May 21, 2024
Inflations, Tariffs & Rates
The US economic surprise index was at -23, a level last seen in August 2022 when the post-Fed started to halt rate hikes. This time...
Sameer Kalra
May 6, 2024
Reduction in Tightening Begins
Last week's Federal Reserve Policy statement and Chair Powell's discussion made it clear that tightening on all fronts seems to be...
Sameer Kalra
Apr 15, 2024
Commodity,Inflation & The Fed Reserve
Over the weekend two major events took place that might result in higher commodity prices for longer. First was the Israel - Iran...
Sameer Kalra
Apr 8, 2024
Central Banks Volatility Index Rising
On Friday USA Non-Farm Payroll data indicated that 300,000 jobs were added to the economy during March 2024. This surprised investors,...
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